Keep track here:

https://sfstandard.com/2025/07/08/newsom-president-campaign-tracker

• December 2003: After serving on the San Francisco Board of Supervisors, Newsom is elected mayor on campaign promises to move the city in a “new direction.” GavTracker: Toss-up
• February 2004: Weeks after being elected, Newsom sparks national controversy with a decision to begin issuing same-sex marriage licenses, in defiance of state law. GavTracker: Likely running
• September 2004: In a Harper’s Bazaar profile of Newsom and then-wife Kimberly Guilfoyle — featuring that famous photo of the two spooning on a fancy rug in Ann Getty’s home — the couple are compared to the Kennedys. “I’d gladly vote for him,” Guilfoyle says of the idea of Newsom running for president. GavTracker: He’s running
• February 2007: A year after his split from Guilfoyle, Newsom admits to and apologizes for having an affair with the wife of his campaign manager and close friend. GavTracker:Not running
• November 2016: As lieutenant governor, Newsom champions a ballot measure to legalize recreational marijuana. GavTracker: Likely running
• November 2020: Biden wins the presidency, and Harris as vice president becomes his heir apparent. Newsom and Harris, who rose through the ranks of San Francisco politics together, have long shared political advisers and donors, complicating the governor’s ambitions for 2024. GavTracker: Not running
• November 2020: In the midst of a Covid shutdown, Newsom enrages sheltered Californians by attending a birthday party at posh Napa Valley  restaurant the French Laundry. GavTracker: Not running
• September 2021: Newsom easily defeats a recall election fueled by the French Laundry scandal. His political standing continues to rise with voters in the polls. GavTracker: Toss-up
• October 2023: After a quick visit to Israel following Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack, Newsom travels to China for a weeklong trip focused on climate change in what some see as an unusual gubernatorial foray into foreign affairs. GavTracker: Likely running
• November 2023: Newsom debates Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis on Fox News’ “The Great Red vs. Blue State Debate.”GavTracker: Likely running
• June to July 2024: Biden’s horrible debate performance leads to Harris replacing him at the top of the ticket, officially delaying any hopes of Newsom running. GavTracker: Not running
• November 2024: With Harris’ defeat, Democrats immediately look to possible contenders to retake the White House in 2028, with Newsom’s name floated as a top option. GavTracker: Toss-up
• January 2025 to present: Newsom launches a podcast in an effort to better understand conservative voters and how Democrats can improve their messaging and assumes the role of “resister-in-chief” to Trump. GavTracker: Likely running
• June to July 2025: Newsom publicly discusses a possible presidential run and travels to South Carolina to meet with top Democrats in the swing state. GavTracker: Likely running